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1.
Open Heart ; 10(1)2023 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2283194

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We investigated the associations of healthcare worker status with multisystem illness trajectory in hospitalised post-COVID-19 individuals. METHODS AND RESULTS: One hundred and sixty-eight patients were evaluated 28-60 days after the last episode of hospital care. Thirty-six (21%) were healthcare workers. Compared with non-healthcare workers, healthcare workers were of similar age (51.3 (8.7) years vs 55.0 (12.4) years; p=0.09) more often women (26 (72%) vs 48 (38%); p<0.01) and had lower 10-year cardiovascular risk (%) (8.1 (7.9) vs 15.0 (11.5); p<0.01) and Coronavirus Clinical Characterisation Consortium in-hospital mortality risk (7.3 (10.2) vs 12.7 (9.8); p<0.01). Healthcare worker status associated with less acute inflammation (peak C reactive protein 48 mg/L (IQR: 14-165) vs 112 mg/L (52-181)), milder illness reflected by WHO clinical severity score distribution (p=0.04) and shorter duration of admission (4 days (IQR: 2-6) vs 6 days (3-12)).In adjusted multivariate logistic regression analysis, healthcare worker status associated with a binary classification (probable/very likely vs not present/unlikely) of adjudicated myocarditis (OR: 2.99; 95% CI (1.01 to 8.89) by 28-60 days postdischarge).After a mean (SD, range) duration of follow-up after hospital discharge of 450 (88) days (range 290, 627 days), fewer healthcare workers died or were rehospitalised (1 (3%) vs 22 (17%); p=0.038) and secondary care referrals for post-COVID-19 syndrome were common (42%) and similar to non-healthcare workers (38%; p=0.934). CONCLUSION: Healthcare worker status was independently associated with the likelihood of adjudicated myocarditis, despite better antecedent health. Two in five healthcare workers had a secondary care referral for post-COVID-19 syndrome. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04403607.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Myocarditis , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Aftercare , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/diagnosis , Myocarditis/diagnosis , Myocarditis/epidemiology , Patient Discharge , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome , SARS-CoV-2 , Health Personnel , Male , Adult , Aged
2.
Clin Kidney J ; 16(3): 512-520, 2023 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2271421

ABSTRACT

Background: Lymphocyte ratios reflect inflammation and have been associated with adverse outcomes in a range of diseases. We sought to determine any association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and mortality in a haemodialysis cohort, including a coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection subpopulation. Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed of adults commencing hospital haemodialysis in the West of Scotland during 2010-21. NLR and PLR were calculated from routine samples around haemodialysis initiation. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to assess mortality associations. Results: In 1720 haemodialysis patients over a median of 21.9 (interquartile range 9.1-42.9) months, there were 840 all-cause deaths. NLR but not PLR was associated with all-cause mortality after multivariable adjustment [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for in participants with baseline NLR in quartile 4 (NLR ≥8.23) versus quartile 1 (NLR <3.12) 1.63, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32-2.00]. The association was stronger for cardiovascular death (NLR quartile 4 versus 1 aHR 3.06, 95% CI 1.53-6.09) than for non-cardiovascular death (NLR quartile 4 versus 1 aHR 1.85, 95% CI 1.34-2.56). In the COVID-19 subpopulation, both NLR and PLR at haemodialysis initiation were associated with risk of COVID-19-related death after adjustment for age and sex (NLR: aHR 4.69, 95% CI 1.48-14.92 and PLR: aHR 3.40, 95% CI 1.02-11.36; for highest vs lowest quartiles). Conclusions: NLR is strongly associated with mortality in haemodialysis patients while the association between PLR and adverse outcomes is weaker. NLR is an inexpensive, readily available biomarker with potential utility in risk stratification of haemodialysis patients.

3.
Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association ; 37(Suppl 3), 2022.
Article in English | EuropePMC | ID: covidwho-1999486

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS The new race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was developed in 2021. Recently in the UK in keeping with similar initiatives elsewhere, the kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) to predict the risk of kidney failure has been incorporated into clinical guidelines. Referral from primary care to a specialist renal clinic is recommended if eGFR falls to < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or if the 5-year KFRE is greater than 5%. We investigate the impact of using the race-free eGFR equation and KFRE on CKD diagnosis in primary care and potential referrals to the renal clinic. METHOD Primary care records for 79% of the population of Wales (UK) are held in the electronic health records repository Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank (SAIL). We studied serum creatinine values and urine albumin-creatinine ratios (uACRs) from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2020. We calculated eGFR values using three equations: MDRD, CKD-EPI 2009 and (race-free) CKD-EPI 2021. Using the different equations, we compared the numbers of patients with incident eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and incident eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 (i.e. their eGFR fell from above to below these values for more than 3 months). For each year from 2013 to 2020, we identified the patients with prevalent eGFR 30–60 mL/min/1.73 m2 those with annual uACR testing and those who met referral criteria by A) eGFR decline and B) KFRE without eGFR decline. RESULTS There were 121 471 patients with prevalent CKD between 2013 and 2020. eGFR values were lowest using the MDRD equation (median 47.1 mL/min/1.73 m2 IQI 39.7–51.9) and highest with the CKD-EPI 2021 equation (median 50.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 IQI 41.6–55.3). Changing between these two equations would have led to a 17.6% reduction in incident eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and a 7.5% reduction in incident eGFR < 30 between 2013 and 2020 (Figure 1). The rate of annual uACR testing fell from 46.3% in 2013 to 25.3% in 2019 (Figure 2). eGFR and uACR testing were reduced further in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Patients without diabetes and older patients were the least likely to have had uACR testing at any time: for example, amongst those aged 60–70 years, 90.0% of those with diabetes had uACR testing at any time compared to 42.7% of those without diabetes;amongst those aged over 80 years, 79.1% of those with diabetes were tested compared to 32.7% of those without diabetes. In 2019 (the last year before the COVID-19 pandemic), 787/61 721 (1.3%) patients with CKD stage 3 met referral criteria by eGFR decline and an additional 587 (1.0%) by KFRE without eGFR decline. CONCLUSION Using the race-free eGFR equation will reduce diagnoses of incident eGFR < 30 warranting referral to specialist renal clinics. KFRE can be used to identify a significant number of patients at heightened risk of kidney failure, and these numbers may be higher if more uACR testing was performed. Annual uACR testing rates are low, especially in those without diabetes and in older adults. eGFR and uACR testing were markedly reduced during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 as most routine disease monitoring stopped. Expanding uACR testing in primary care (particularly in those without diabetes and in older adults) and using KFRE may improve the identification of individuals at risk of progressive kidney disease, but this is challenging during the COVID-19 pandemic.FIGURE 1: Incident CKD 2013–2020.FIGURE 1: CKD stage 3 monitoring and potential renal clinic referrals by year.

5.
J Am Soc Nephrol ; 33(7): 1430-1431, 2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1902726
6.
Nat Med ; 28(6): 1303-1313, 2022 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1860386

ABSTRACT

The pathophysiology and trajectory of post-Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) syndrome is uncertain. To clarify multisystem involvement, we undertook a prospective cohort study including patients who had been hospitalized with COVID-19 (ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT04403607 ). Serial blood biomarkers, digital electrocardiography and patient-reported outcome measures were obtained in-hospital and at 28-60 days post-discharge when multisystem imaging using chest computed tomography with pulmonary and coronary angiography and cardio-renal magnetic resonance imaging was also obtained. Longer-term clinical outcomes were assessed using electronic health records. Compared to controls (n = 29), at 28-60 days post-discharge, people with COVID-19 (n = 159; mean age, 55 years; 43% female) had persisting evidence of cardio-renal involvement and hemostasis pathway activation. The adjudicated likelihood of myocarditis was 'very likely' in 21 (13%) patients, 'probable' in 65 (41%) patients, 'unlikely' in 56 (35%) patients and 'not present' in 17 (11%) patients. At 28-60 days post-discharge, COVID-19 was associated with worse health-related quality of life (EQ-5D-5L score 0.77 (0.23) versus 0.87 (0.20)), anxiety and depression (PHQ-4 total score 3.59 (3.71) versus 1.28 (2.67)) and aerobic exercise capacity reflected by predicted maximal oxygen utilization (20.0 (7.6) versus 29.5 (8.0) ml/kg/min) (all P < 0.01). During follow-up (mean, 450 days), 24 (15%) patients and two (7%) controls died or were rehospitalized, and 108 (68%) patients and seven (26%) controls received outpatient secondary care (P = 0.017). The illness trajectory of patients after hospitalization with COVID-19 includes persisting multisystem abnormalities and health impairments that could lead to substantial demand on healthcare services in the future.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Aftercare , COVID-19/complications , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Discharge , Prospective Studies , Quality of Life , SARS-CoV-2
7.
J Am Soc Nephrol ; 33(4): 677-686, 2022 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1775517

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients with kidney failure requiring KRT are at high risk of complications and death following SARS-CoV-2 infection, with variable antibody responses to vaccination reported. We investigated the effects of COVID-19 vaccination on the incidence of infection, hospitalization, and death from COVID-19 infection. METHODS: The study design was an observational data linkage cohort study. Multiple health care datasets were linked to ascertain all SARS-CoV-2 testing, vaccination, hospitalization, and mortality data for all patients treated with KRT in Scotland from the start of the pandemic over a period of 20 months. Descriptive statistics, survival analyses, and vaccine effectiveness were calculated. RESULTS: As of September 19, 2021, 93% (n=5281) of the established KRT population in Scotland had received two doses of an approved SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. Over the study period, there were 814 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection (15.1% of the KRT population). Vaccine effectiveness rates against infection and hospitalization were 33% (95% CI, 0 to 52) and 38% (95% CI, 0 to 57), respectively. Within 28 days of a SARS-CoV-2-positive PCR test, 9.2% of fully vaccinated individuals died (7% patients on dialysis and 10% kidney transplant recipients). This compares to <0.1% of the vaccinated general Scottish population admitted to the hospital or dying due to COVID-19 during that period. CONCLUSIONS: These data demonstrate that a primary vaccine course of two doses has limited effect on COVID-19 infection and its complications in patients with KRT. Adjunctive strategies to reduce risk of both COVID-19 infection and its complications in this population are urgently required.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Renal Insufficiency , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Testing , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , Cohort Studies , Humans , Incidence , SARS-CoV-2 , Scotland , Vaccination
8.
Nephrol Dial Transplant ; 37(2): 271-284, 2022 01 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1648225

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study investigated adults hospitalized with COVID-19 and hypothesized that risk factors for AKI would include comorbidities and non-White race. METHODS: A prospective multicentre cohort study was performed using patients admitted to 254 UK hospitals with COVID-19 between 17 January 2020 and 5 December 2020. RESULTS: Of 85 687 patients, 2198 (2.6%) received acute kidney replacement therapy (KRT). Of 41 294 patients with biochemistry data, 13 000 (31.5%) had biochemical AKI: 8562 stage 1 (65.9%), 2609 stage 2 (20.1%) and 1829 stage 3 (14.1%). The main risk factors for KRT were chronic kidney disease (CKD) [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 3.41: 95% confidence interval 3.06-3.81], male sex (aOR 2.43: 2.18-2.71) and Black race (aOR 2.17: 1.79-2.63). The main risk factors for biochemical AKI were admission respiratory rate >30 breaths per minute (aOR 1.68: 1.56-1.81), CKD (aOR 1.66: 1.57-1.76) and Black race (aOR 1.44: 1.28-1.61). There was a gradated rise in the risk of 28-day mortality by increasing severity of AKI: stage 1 aOR 1.58 (1.49-1.67), stage 2 aOR 2.41 (2.20-2.64), stage 3 aOR 3.50 (3.14-3.91) and KRT aOR 3.06 (2.75-3.39). AKI rates peaked in April 2020 and the subsequent fall in rates could not be explained by the use of dexamethasone or remdesivir. CONCLUSIONS: AKI is common in adults hospitalized with COVID-19 and it is associated with a heightened risk of mortality. Although the rates of AKI have fallen from the early months of the pandemic, high-risk patients should have their kidney function and fluid status monitored closely.


Subject(s)
Acute Kidney Injury , COVID-19 , Acute Kidney Injury/epidemiology , Acute Kidney Injury/etiology , Cohort Studies , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Male , Prospective Studies , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , SARS-CoV-2 , United Kingdom , World Health Organization
10.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 15278, 2021 07 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1328856

ABSTRACT

Many western countries used shielding (extended self-isolation) of people presumed to be at high-risk from COVID-19 to protect them and reduce healthcare demand. To investigate the effectiveness of this strategy, we linked family practitioner, prescribing, laboratory, hospital and death records and compared COVID-19 outcomes among shielded and non-shielded individuals in the West of Scotland. Of the 1.3 million population, 27,747 (2.03%) were advised to shield, and 353,085 (26.85%) were classified a priori as moderate risk. COVID-19 testing was more common in the shielded (7.01%) and moderate risk (2.03%) groups, than low risk (0.73%). Referent to low-risk, the shielded group had higher confirmed infections (RR 8.45, 95% 7.44-9.59), case-fatality (RR 5.62, 95% CI 4.47-7.07) and population mortality (RR 57.56, 95% 44.06-75.19). The moderate-risk had intermediate confirmed infections (RR 4.11, 95% CI 3.82-4.42) and population mortality (RR 25.41, 95% CI 20.36-31.71) but, due to their higher prevalence, made the largest contribution to deaths (PAF 75.30%). Age ≥ 70 years accounted for 49.55% of deaths. In conclusion, in spite of the shielding strategy, high risk individuals were at increased risk of death. Furthermore, to be effective as a population strategy, shielding criteria would have needed to be widely expanded to include other criteria, such as the elderly.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , Quarantine/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Testing , Female , Humans , Male , Prognosis , Risk
12.
CJC Open ; 3(10): 1257-1272, 2021 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1272339

ABSTRACT

The current COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus, represents the largest medical challenge in decades. It has exposed unexpected cardiovascular vulnerabilities at all stages of the disease (pre-infection, acute phase, and subsequent chronic phase). The major cardiometabolic drivers identified as having epidemiologic and mechanistic associations with COVID-19 are abnormal adiposity, dysglycemia, dyslipidemia, and hypertension. Hypertension is of particular interest, because components of the renin-angiotensin system (RAS), which are critically involved in the pathophysiology of hypertension, are also implicated in COVID-19. Specifically, angiotensin-converting enzyme-2 (ACE2), a multifunctional protein of the RAS, which is part of the protective axis of the RAS, is also the receptor through which SARS-CoV-2 enters host cells, causing viral infection. Cardiovascular and cardiometabolic comorbidities not only predispose people to COVID-19, but also are complications of SARS-CoV-2 infection. In addition, increasing evidence indicates that acute kidney injury is common in COVID-19, occurs early and in temporal association with respiratory failure, and is associated with poor prognosis, especially in the presence of cardiovascular risk factors. Here, we discuss cardiovascular and kidney disease in the context of COVID-19 and provide recent advances on putative pathophysiological mechanisms linking cardiovascular disease and COVID-19, focusing on the RAS and ACE2, as well as the immune system and inflammation. We provide up-to-date information on the relationships among hypertension, diabetes, and COVID-19 and emphasize the major cardiovascular diseases associated with COVID-19. We also briefly discuss emerging cardiovascular complications associated with long COVID-19, notably postural tachycardia syndrome (POTS).


La pandémie actuelle de COVID-19 causée par le coronavirus du syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère 2 (SRAS-CoV-2) est le plus grand enjeu médical des dernières décennies. Elle a mis en évidence des vulnérabilités cardiovasculaires imprévues à tous les stades de la COVID-19 (avant l'infection, pendant la phase aiguë et pendant la phase chronique subséquente). Les principaux facteurs cardiométaboliques dont les associations épidémiologiques et mécanistiques avec la COVID-19 ont été avérées comprennent l'adiposité anormale, la dysglycémie, la dyslipidémie et l'hypertension. L'hypertension suscite un intérêt particulier, car certaines composantes du système rénine-angiotensine (SRA), dont le rôle est crucial dans la physiopathologie de l'hypertension, sont également en cause dans la COVID-19. Plus précisément, l'enzyme de conversion de l'angiotensine 2 (ECA2), une protéine multifonctionnelle du SRA faisant partie de l'axe protecteur du SRA, est également le récepteur permettant au virus SRAS-CoV-2 d'entrer dans les cellules hôtes et de provoquer une infection virale. Les affections cardiovasculaires et cardiométaboliques concomitantes ne font pas que prédisposer les personnes qui en sont atteintes à la COVID-19, elles constituent également des complications de l'infection à SRAS-CoV-2. En outre, de plus en plus de données probantes indiquent que l'atteinte rénale aiguë est fréquente en cas de COVID-19, qu'elle survient tôt et fait l'objet d'une association temporelle avec l'insuffisance respiratoire, et qu'elle est associée à un pronostic sombre, notamment en présence de facteurs de risque cardiovasculaires. Nous discutons ici des maladies cardiovasculaires et rénales dans le contexte de la COVID-19, et présentons les progrès récents sur les mécanismes physiopathologiques en cause dans le lien entre les maladies cardiovasculaires et la COVID-19 en nous attardant sur le SRA et l'ECA2, ainsi que sur le système immunitaire et l'inflammation. Nous présentons de l'information à jour sur les liens entre l'hypertension, le diabète et la COVID-19, et soulignons les principales maladies cardiovasculaires associées à la COVID-19. Nous analysons également brièvement les complications cardiovasculaires émergentes associées à la COVID-19 de longue durée, notamment le syndrome de tachycardie orthostatique posturale (STOP).

13.
J Infect ; 83(1): 96-103, 2021 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1198895

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Patients requiring haemodialysis are at increased risk of serious illness with SARS-CoV-2 infection. To improve the understanding of transmission risks in six Scottish renal dialysis units, we utilised the rapid whole-genome sequencing data generated by the COG-UK consortium. METHODS: We combined geographical, temporal and genomic sequence data from the community and hospital to estimate the probability of infection originating from within the dialysis unit, the hospital or the community using Bayesian statistical modelling and compared these results to the details of epidemiological investigations. RESULTS: Of 671 patients, 60 (8.9%) became infected with SARS-CoV-2, of whom 16 (27%) died. Within-unit and community transmission were both evident and an instance of transmission from the wider hospital setting was also demonstrated. CONCLUSIONS: Near-real-time SARS-CoV-2 sequencing data can facilitate tailored infection prevention and control measures, which can be targeted at reducing risk in these settings.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Bayes Theorem , Hospitals , Humans , Molecular Epidemiology , Renal Dialysis/adverse effects
14.
Nephrology (Carlton) ; 26(4): 328-332, 2021 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-991640

ABSTRACT

Recent World Health Organization guidance has aimed to provide pragmatic guidance acknowledging the role of sequential nasopharyngeal swabs taken >24 hours apart for SARS-CoV-2 in high-risk populations. Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are known to have an altered immune milieu which may be associated with a delay in viral clearance. Here, a cross-sectional observational study of 138 patients admitted with SARS-CoV-2 infection at two large regional hospitals in Scotland, UK examined the median time to two consecutive negative nasopharyngeal swabs for SARS-CoV-2 in an inpatient population. The median time from admission to the first of two consecutive negative nasopharyngeal swabs was 18 days (range = 1-44) in patients with CKD, compared with 11 days (range: 1-71) in patients without CKD (P = .0007). Multivariable linear regression analysis using explanatory variables of age, sex, SARS-CoV-2 disease severity, key comorbidities and renal function showed that declining estimated glomerular filtration rate was independently associated with prolonged time to viral clearance. Our data suggest that patients with CKD who are admitted to hospital with SARS-CoV-2 take longer to achieve sequential negative nasopharyngeal swab reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction results than those without CKD. This has implications for renal service provision, discharge planning and hospital capacity as well as a direct impact on patients due to extended hospital stay, anxiety and stigmatisation.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Nucleic Acid Testing , COVID-19/diagnosis , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/complications , SARS-CoV-2/physiology , Virus Shedding , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/therapy , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Hospitalization , Humans , Linear Models , Male , Middle Aged , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/therapy , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/virology , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction , Scotland , Time Factors
15.
BMC Nephrol ; 21(1): 419, 2020 10 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-810431

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Infection with the severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has led to a worldwide pandemic with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, overwhelming healthcare systems globally. Preliminary reports suggest a high incidence of infection and mortality with SARS-CoV-2 in patients receiving kidney replacement therapy (KRT). The aims of this study are to report characteristics, rates and outcomes of all patients affected by infection with SARS-CoV-2 undergoing KRT in Scotland. METHODS: Study design was an observational cohort study. Data were linked between the Scottish Renal Registry, Health Protection Scotland and the Scottish Intensive Care Society Audit Group national data sets using a unique patient identifier (Community Health Index (CHI)) for each individual by the Public Health and Intelligence unit of Public Health, Scotland. Descriptive statistics and survival analyses were performed. RESULTS: During the period 1st March 2020 to 31st May 2020, 110 patients receiving KRT tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 amounting to 2% of the prevalent KRT population. Of those affected, 86 were receiving haemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis and 24 had a renal transplant. Patients who tested positive were older and more likely to reside in more deprived postcodes. Mortality was high at 26.7% in the dialysis patients and 29.2% in the transplant patients. CONCLUSION: The rate of detected SARS-CoV-2 in people receiving KRT in Scotland was relatively low but with a high mortality for those demonstrating infection. Although impossible to confirm, it appears that the measures taken within dialysis units coupled with the national shielding policy, have been effective in protecting this population from infection.


Subject(s)
Betacoronavirus/isolation & purification , Communicable Disease Control/organization & administration , Coronavirus Infections , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Kidney Transplantation/statistics & numerical data , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral , Renal Replacement Therapy , COVID-19 , Comorbidity , Coronavirus Infections/diagnosis , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/prevention & control , Female , Humans , Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/surgery , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Male , Middle Aged , Mortality , Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care , Pandemics/prevention & control , Pneumonia, Viral/diagnosis , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/prevention & control , Public Health/methods , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Renal Replacement Therapy/methods , Renal Replacement Therapy/statistics & numerical data , SARS-CoV-2 , Scotland/epidemiology
16.
PLoS One ; 15(8): e0238091, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-725075

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is now well recognised that the risk of severe COVID-19 increases with some long-term conditions (LTCs). However, prior research primarily focuses on individual LTCs and there is a lack of data on the influence of multimorbidity (≥2 LTCs) on the risk of COVID-19. Given the high prevalence of multimorbidity, more detailed understanding of the associations with multimorbidity and COVID-19 would improve risk stratification and help protect those most vulnerable to severe COVID-19. Here we examine the relationships between multimorbidity, polypharmacy (a proxy of multimorbidity), and COVID-19; and how these differ by sociodemographic, lifestyle, and physiological prognostic factors. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We studied data from UK Biobank (428,199 participants; aged 37-73; recruited 2006-2010) on self-reported LTCs, medications, sociodemographic, lifestyle, and physiological measures which were linked to COVID-19 test data. Poisson regression models examined risk of COVID-19 by multimorbidity/polypharmacy and effect modification by COVID-19 prognostic factors (age/sex/ethnicity/socioeconomic status/smoking/physical activity/BMI/systolic blood pressure/renal function). 4,498 (1.05%) participants were tested; 1,324 (0.31%) tested positive for COVID-19. Compared with no LTCs, relative risk (RR) of COVID-19 in those with 1 LTC was no higher (RR 1.12 (CI 0.96-1.30)), whereas those with ≥2 LTCs had 48% higher risk; RR 1.48 (1.28-1.71). Compared with no cardiometabolic LTCs, having 1 and ≥2 cardiometabolic LTCs had a higher risk of COVID-19; RR 1.28 (1.12-1.46) and 1.77 (1.46-2.15), respectively. Polypharmacy was associated with a dose response higher risk of COVID-19. All prognostic factors were associated with a higher risk of COVID-19 infection in multimorbidity; being non-white, most socioeconomically deprived, BMI ≥40 kg/m2, and reduced renal function were associated with the highest risk of COVID-19 infection: RR 2.81 (2.09-3.78); 2.79 (2.00-3.90); 2.66 (1.88-3.76); 2.13 (1.46-3.12), respectively. No multiplicative interaction between multimorbidity and prognostic factors was identified. Important limitations include the low proportion of UK Biobank participants with COVID-19 test data (1.05%) and UK Biobank participants being more affluent, healthier and less ethnically diverse than the general population. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing multimorbidity, especially cardiometabolic multimorbidity, and polypharmacy are associated with a higher risk of developing COVID-19. Those with multimorbidity and additional factors, such as non-white ethnicity, are at heightened risk of COVID-19.


Subject(s)
Betacoronavirus , Coronavirus Infections/drug therapy , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Multimorbidity , Pneumonia, Viral/drug therapy , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Polypharmacy , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Biological Specimen Banks , COVID-19 , Coronavirus Infections/ethnology , Coronavirus Infections/virology , Ethnicity , Female , Health Status , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral/ethnology , Pneumonia, Viral/virology , Prevalence , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , SARS-CoV-2 , Self Report , United Kingdom/epidemiology
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